NFLMondeEn attente

Cleveland BrownsvsCarolina Panthers

dimanche 27 septembre à 13:00

GRATUITRisque Moyen

La sélection PCS

Marché

Vainqueur

Pronostic

Carolina Panthers

Cote

1.70

Confiance74%

Mise conseillée : 0.5u

Analyse

Cleveland Browns – Carolina Panthers : solide lecture du modèle PCS — données correctes, 4 matchs analysés (qualité des données 79/100). Le modèle dégage un angle de valeur sur ce match.

Justification membre

📊 Lecture du match — Modèle football américain : Cleveland Browns ~12.5 pts marqués / 29.5 encaissés sur 4 matchs ; Carolina Panthers ~30.4/27.6 sur 5. 🎯 Le pari retenu — Vainqueur : Carolina Panthers. marge attendue -11.0 pts pour Carolina Panthers (18–29) → 79% · cote observée 1.70. Probabilité estimée 79% contre 58.8% implicite par la cote → value +34%. Niveau de risque modéré. Cote minimale acceptable : 1.32 — en dessous, la value disparaît, ne pas jouer. 🔎 Fiabilité & sources — analyse construite sur 4 matchs (qualité des données 79/100, recherche 40/100, cotes de bookmakers) à partir de : forme dérivée football américain (4 vs 5 matchs), points marqués/encaissés (12.5/29.5 · 30.4/27.6), cotes observées (7 bookmakers). 🧠 Discipline PCS — la priorité n'est pas de jouer plus : c'est de protéger le capital. Pas de rattrapage après une perte, stop après 3 pertes consécutives.

Fiabilité de l'analyse

✓ Données vérifiées✓ Analyse complète✓ Risque maîtrisé🎯 Cote réelle du marché📈 4 matchs analysés

💎 Bonne valeur : la cote proposée est supérieure à la probabilité réelle estimée.

Pourquoi ce pari

Analyse complète à 70%

Forme33

Domicile / Extérieur (données insuffisantes)50

Régularité70

Enjeu / Classement40

Face-à-face (données insuffisantes)50

Cotes cohérentes53

Blessures / Risque (données insuffisantes)50

Opportunité (données insuffisantes)50

Chances estimées : 79%

Modèle football américain : Cleveland Browns ~12.5 pts marqués / 29.5 encaissés sur 4 matchs ; Carolina Panthers ~30.4/27.6 sur 5.

✓ Analyse enregistrée le 26/09/2026 23:30:18 — résultat vérifiable.

Comparatif des cotes

Bet365 · 1X21:2.25 2:1.66 X:101

Bet365 · OU_POINTSOver 23.5:1.05 Under 23.5:8.25 Over 27.5:1.12 Under 27.5:5.65 Over 30.5:1.2 Under 30.5:4.16 Over 34.5:1.34 Under 34.5:3.05 Over 39.5:1.65 Under 39.5:2.12 Over 44.5:2.25 Under 44.5:1.57 Over 49.5:3.08 Under 49.5:1.33 Over 31.5:1.22 Under 31.5:3.8 Over 32:1.23 Under 32:3.75 Over 32.5:1.25 Under 32.5:3.7 Over 33:1.26 Under 33:3.54 Over 33.5:1.3 Under 33.5:3.22 Over 34:1.31 Under 34:3.18 Over 35:1.35 Under 35:3.02 Over 35.5:1.37 Under 35.5:2.88 Over 36:1.39 Under 36:2.8 Over 36.5:1.43 Under 36.5:2.65 Over 37:1.47 Under 37:2.55 Over 37.5:1.54 Under 37.5:2.32 Over 38:1.56 Under 38:2.28 Over 38.5:1.58 Under 38.5:2.23 Over 39:1.62 Under 39:2.2 Over 40:1.68 Under 40:2.05 Over 40.5:1.74 Under 40.5:1.95 Over 41:1.75 Under 41:1.92 Over 41.5:1.76 Under 41.5:1.9 Over 42:1.78 Under 42:1.89 Over 42.5:1.95 Under 42.5:1.86 Over 43:1.98 Under 43:1.72 Over 43.5:2.08 Under 43.5:1.67 Over 44:2.2 Under 44:1.62 Over 45:2.32 Under 45:1.54 Over 45.5:2.38 Under 45.5:1.53 Over 46:2.45 Under 46:1.51 Over 46.5:2.52 Under 46.5:1.48 Over 47:2.65 Under 47:1.43 Over 47.5:2.72 Under 47.5:1.4 Over 48:2.85 Under 48:1.38 Over 48.5:2.86 Under 48.5:1.37 Over 49:3.02 Under 49:1.35 Over 50:3.25 Under 50:1.3 Over 50.5:3.36 Under 50.5:1.28 Over 51:3.66 Under 51:1.25 Over 51.5:3.74 Under 51.5:1.23 Over 52:3.88 Under 52:1.22 Over 52.5:3.9 Under 52.5:1.22 Over 53:4.2 Under 53:1.2 Over 53.5:4.24 Under 53.5:1.19 Over 54:4.48 Under 54:1.16 Over 54.5:4.55 Under 54.5:1.16 Over 55:4.85 Under 55:1.14 Over 55.5:4.9 Under 55.5:1.14 Over 56:5.2 Under 56:1.13 Over 56.5:5.25 Under 56.5:1.13 Over 57:5.95 Under 57:1.11 Over 57.5:6.1 Under 57.5:1.1 Over 58:6.65 Under 58:1.09 Over 58.5:6.75 Under 58.5:1.09 Over 59:7 Under 59:1.08 Over 59.5:7.05 Under 59.5:1.08 Over 60:7.45 Under 60:1.07 Over 60.5:7.55 Under 60.5:1.07 Over 61:8.2 Under 61:1.05 Over 61.5:8.25 Under 61.5:1.05 Over 62:8.45 Under 62:1.05 Over 62.5:8.5 Under 62.5:1.05 Over 26.5:1.09 Under 26.5:6.7 Over 27:1.09 Under 27:6.6 Over 28:1.12 Under 28:5.6 Over 28.5:1.12 Under 28.5:5.45 Over 29.5:1.15 Under 29.5:4.7 Over 22.5:1.03 Under 22.5:9.9 Over 23:1.03 Under 23:9.8 Over 24:1.05 Under 24:8.2 Over 24.5:1.06 Under 24.5:7.65 Over 25:1.06 Under 25:7.6 Over 25.5:1.07 Under 25.5:7.35 Over 26:1.07 Under 26:7.25 Over 29:1.13 Under 29:5.3 Over 30:1.16 Under 30:4.55 Over 31:1.21 Under 31:4.08

Marathon · 1X21:2 2:1.79

Marathon · OU_POINTSOver 39.5:1.6 Under 39.5:2.28 Over 33.5:1.24 Under 33.5:3.72 Over 36.5:1.38 Under 36.5:2.9 Over 42.5:1.89 Under 42.5:1.89 Over 45.5:2.39 Under 45.5:1.55 Over 48.5:3.04 Under 48.5:1.35 Over 51.5:4.2 Under 51.5:1.2

Betfair · 1X21:2.1 2:1.73

Betfair · OU_POINTSOver 30.5:1.14 Under 30.5:4.8 Over 34.5:1.29 Under 34.5:3.3 Over 39.5:1.6 Under 39.5:2.2 Over 44.5:2.2 Under 44.5:1.6 Over 49.5:3.2 Under 49.5:1.3 Over 31.5:1.14 Under 31.5:4.8 Over 32.5:1.2 Under 32.5:4 Over 33.5:1.25 Under 33.5:3.6 Over 35.5:1.33 Under 35.5:3 Over 36.5:1.36 Under 36.5:2.88 Over 37.5:1.45 Under 37.5:2.55 Over 38.5:1.5 Under 38.5:2.4 Over 40.5:1.65 Under 40.5:2.1 Over 41.5:1.8 Under 41.5:1.91 Over 42.5:1.85 Under 42.5:1.85 Over 43.5:2 Under 43.5:1.73 Over 45.5:2.25 Under 45.5:1.57 Over 46.5:2.4 Under 46.5:1.5 Over 47.5:2.75 Under 47.5:1.4 Over 48.5:2.88 Under 48.5:1.36 Over 50.5:3.3 Under 50.5:1.29 Over 51.5:3.8 Under 51.5:1.22 Over 52.5:4 Under 52.5:1.2 Over 53.5:4.5 Under 53.5:1.17 Over 54.5:4.8 Under 54.5:1.14

⚠️ Les paris comportent des risques. Aucun gain n'est garanti — PCS LE GOAT publie des analyses fondées sur les données disponibles, jamais des certitudes. Jouez de manière responsable.