NFLMondeGagné

Dallas CowboysvsWashington Commanders

dimanche 20 septembre à 16:25 · score final 37-20

GRATUITRisque Moyen

La sélection PCS

Marché

Vainqueur

Pronostic

Dallas Cowboys

Cote

1.48

Confiance64%

Mise conseillée : 0.5u+0.48u

Analyse

Dallas Cowboys – Washington Commanders : mesurée lecture du modèle PCS — données correctes, 3 matchs analysés (qualité des données 71/100).

Justification membre

📊 Lecture du match — Modèle football américain : Dallas Cowboys ~23.7 pts marqués / 16 encaissés sur 3 matchs ; Washington Commanders ~18.3/16 sur 3. 🎯 Le pari retenu — Vainqueur : Dallas Cowboys. marge attendue +4.7 pts pour Dallas Cowboys (22–17) → 64% · cote observée 1.48. Probabilité estimée 64% contre 67.6% implicite par la cote → value -5%. Niveau de risque modéré. Cote minimale acceptable : 1.64 — en dessous, la value disparaît, ne pas jouer. 🔎 Fiabilité & sources — analyse construite sur 3 matchs (qualité des données 71/100, recherche 40/100, cotes de bookmakers) à partir de : forme dérivée football américain (3 vs 3 matchs), points marqués/encaissés (23.7/16 · 18.3/16), cotes observées (5 bookmakers). 🧠 Discipline PCS — la priorité n'est pas de jouer plus : c'est de protéger le capital. Pas de rattrapage après une perte, stop après 3 pertes consécutives.

Fiabilité de l'analyse

✓ Données vérifiées✓ Analyse complète✓ Risque maîtrisé🎯 Cote réelle du marché📈 3 matchs analysés

Pourquoi ce pari

Analyse complète à 70%

Forme67

Domicile / Extérieur (données insuffisantes)50

Régularité60

Enjeu / Classement60

Face-à-face (données insuffisantes)50

Cotes cohérentes59

Blessures / Risque (données insuffisantes)50

Opportunité (données insuffisantes)50

Chances estimées : 64%

Modèle football américain : Dallas Cowboys ~23.7 pts marqués / 16 encaissés sur 3 matchs ; Washington Commanders ~18.3/16 sur 3.

✓ Analyse enregistrée le 20/09/2026 00:37:21 — résultat vérifiable.

Comparatif des cotes

Bet365 · 1X21:1.47 2:2.75 X:101

Bet365 · OU_POINTSOver 30.5:1.05 Under 30.5:8.6 Over 34.5:1.1 Under 34.5:6.25 Over 39.5:1.22 Under 39.5:4 Over 44.5:1.47 Under 44.5:2.64 Over 49.5:1.81 Under 49.5:2.01 Over 31.5:1.06 Under 31.5:7.95 Over 32:1.06 Under 32:7.9 Over 32.5:1.06 Under 32.5:7.6 Over 33:1.07 Under 33:7.5 Over 33.5:1.09 Under 33.5:6.75 Over 34:1.09 Under 34:6.7 Over 35:1.1 Under 35:6.2 Over 35.5:1.11 Under 35.5:5.9 Over 36:1.11 Under 36:5.75 Over 36.5:1.13 Under 36.5:5.2 Over 37:1.14 Under 37:5.05 Over 37.5:1.17 Under 37.5:4.44 Over 38:1.17 Under 38:4.42 Over 38.5:1.2 Under 38.5:4.3 Over 39:1.2 Under 39:4.25 Over 40:1.22 Under 40:3.9 Over 40.5:1.26 Under 40.5:3.65 Over 41:1.27 Under 41:3.58 Over 41.5:1.3 Under 41.5:3.38 Over 42:1.31 Under 42:3.32 Over 42.5:1.33 Under 42.5:3.25 Over 43:1.35 Under 43:3.1 Over 43.5:1.39 Under 43.5:2.82 Over 44:1.41 Under 44:2.76 Over 45:1.5 Under 45:2.6 Over 45.5:1.52 Under 45.5:2.54 Over 46:1.54 Under 46:2.47 Over 46.5:1.57 Under 46.5:2.4 Over 47:1.61 Under 47:2.32 Over 47.5:1.67 Under 47.5:2.18 Over 48:1.68 Under 48:2.16 Over 48.5:1.72 Under 48.5:2.1 Over 49:1.76 Under 49:2.05 Over 50:1.86 Under 50:1.95 Over 50.5:1.9 Under 50.5:1.9 Over 51:2.01 Under 51:1.81 Over 51.5:2.08 Under 51.5:1.74 Over 52:2.12 Under 52:1.71 Over 52.5:2.16 Under 52.5:1.68 Over 53:2.22 Under 53:1.65 Over 53.5:2.3 Under 53.5:1.62 Over 54:2.4 Under 54:1.57 Over 54.5:2.46 Under 54.5:1.54 Over 55:2.56 Under 55:1.51 Over 55.5:2.62 Under 55.5:1.48 Over 56:2.68 Under 56:1.45 Over 56.5:2.7 Under 56.5:1.44 Over 57:2.86 Under 57:1.38 Over 57.5:3 Under 57.5:1.36 Over 58:3.2 Under 58:1.33 Over 58.5:3.28 Under 58.5:1.32 Over 59:3.38 Under 59:1.3 Over 59.5:3.42 Under 59.5:1.29 Over 60:3.58 Under 60:1.27 Over 60.5:3.62 Under 60.5:1.26 Over 61:3.88 Under 61:1.23 Over 61.5:4 Under 61.5:1.22 Over 62:4.2 Under 62:1.21 Over 62.5:4.22 Under 62.5:1.2 Over 63:4.38 Under 63:1.18 Over 63.5:4.42 Under 63.5:1.17 Over 64:4.75 Under 64:1.15 Over 64.5:4.85 Under 64.5:1.14 Over 65:5.3 Under 65:1.13 Over 65.5:5.4 Under 65.5:1.12 Over 66:5.65 Under 66:1.12 Over 66.5:5.7 Under 66.5:1.11 Over 67:6.3 Under 67:1.1 Over 67.5:6.35 Under 67.5:1.1 Over 68:6.8 Under 68:1.08 Over 68.5:6.85 Under 68.5:1.08 Over 69:7.2 Under 69:1.07 Over 69.5:7.25 Under 69.5:1.07 Over 70:7.7 Under 70:1.06 Over 70.5:7.75 Under 70.5:1.06 Over 31:1.05 Under 31:8.5

Marathon · 1X21:1.5 2:2.55

Marathon · OU_POINTSOver 44.5:1.36 Under 44.5:2.99 Over 41.5:1.19 Under 41.5:4.25 Over 47.5:1.57 Under 47.5:2.34 Over 50.5:1.86 Under 50.5:1.92 Over 53.5:2.22 Under 53.5:1.63 Over 56.5:2.7 Under 56.5:1.43 Over 59.5:3.54 Under 59.5:1.26

BetVictor · 1X21:1.45 2:2.7

BetVictor · OU_POINTSOver 49.5:1.75 Under 49.5:2 Over 46.5:1.55 Under 46.5:2.3 Over 47.5:1.62 Under 47.5:2.2 Over 48.5:1.7 Under 48.5:2.1 Over 50.5:1.87 Under 50.5:1.9 Over 51.5:1.95 Under 51.5:1.8 Over 52.5:2.05 Under 52.5:1.73 Over 53.5:2.15 Under 53.5:1.65 Over 54.5:2.3 Under 54.5:1.6

⚠️ Les paris comportent des risques. Aucun gain n'est garanti — PCS LE GOAT publie des analyses fondées sur les données disponibles, jamais des certitudes. Jouez de manière responsable.