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Las Vegas RaidersvsMiami Dolphins

domenica 13 settembre alle ore 16:25

GRATUITRischio Medio

La selezione PCS

Mercato

Vainqueur

Pronostico

Las Vegas Raiders

Quota

1.61

Fiducia67%

Puntata consigliata: 0.5u

Analisi

Las Vegas Raiders – Miami Dolphins : solide lecture du modèle PCS — données correctes, 2 matchs analysés (qualité des données 56/100). Le modèle dégage un angle de valeur sur ce match. ⚠️ Échantillon limité (2 matchs) — confiance réduite, à confirmer.

Motivazione membro

📊 Lecture du match — Modèle football américain : Las Vegas Raiders ~18 pts marqués / 23.5 encaissés sur 2 matchs ; Miami Dolphins ~5/23 sur 2. 🎯 Le pari retenu — Vainqueur : Las Vegas Raiders. marge attendue +8.3 pts pour Las Vegas Raiders (23–14) → 73% · cote observée 1.61. Probabilité estimée 73% contre 62.1% implicite par la cote → value +18%. Niveau de risque modéré. Cote minimale acceptable : 1.43 — en dessous, la value disparaît, ne pas jouer. 🔎 Fiabilité & sources — analyse construite sur 2 matchs (qualité des données 56/100, recherche 40/100, cotes de bookmakers) à partir de : forme dérivée football américain (2 vs 2 matchs), points marqués/encaissés (18/23.5 · 5/23), cotes observées (7 bookmakers), analyse légère — données limitées (2 matchs). Échantillon réduit : à prendre avec prudence, le pick monte en fiabilité au fil des matchs accumulés. 🧠 Discipline PCS — la priorité n'est pas de jouer plus : c'est de protéger le capital. Pas de rattrapage après une perte, stop après 3 pertes consécutives.

Affidabilità dell'analisi

✓ Dati verificati✓ Analisi completa✓ Rischio controllato🎯 Quota reale di mercato📈 2 partite analizzate

💎 Buon value: la quota proposta è superiore alla probabilità reale stimata.

Perché questa scommessa

Analisi completa al 58%

Forma75

Casa / Trasferta (dati insufficienti)50

Regolarità74

Posta in gioco / Classifica65

Scontri diretti (dati insufficienti)50

Quote coerenti55

Infortuni / Rischio (dati insufficienti)50

Opportunità (dati insufficienti)50

Probabilità stimate: 73%

Modèle football américain : Las Vegas Raiders ~18 pts marqués / 23.5 encaissés sur 2 matchs ; Miami Dolphins ~5/23 sur 2.

✓ Analisi registrata il 12/09/2026, 20:41:01 — risultato verificabile.

Confronto quote

Bet365 · 1X21:1.6 2:2.4 X:101

Bet365 · OU_POINTSOver 20.5:1.03 Under 20.5:10.7 Over 23.5:1.07 Under 23.5:7.25 Over 27.5:1.15 Under 27.5:4.8 Over 30.5:1.26 Under 30.5:3.62 Over 34.5:1.44 Under 34.5:2.7 Over 39.5:1.86 Under 39.5:1.96 Over 44.5:2.64 Under 44.5:1.47 Over 49.5:3.65 Under 49.5:1.26 Over 31.5:1.29 Under 31.5:3.42 Over 32:1.3 Under 32:3.4 Over 32.5:1.32 Under 32.5:3.3 Over 33:1.34 Under 33:3.15 Over 33.5:1.39 Under 33.5:2.82 Over 34:1.4 Under 34:2.78 Over 35:1.45 Under 35:2.68 Over 35.5:1.48 Under 35.5:2.62 Over 36:1.52 Under 36:2.54 Over 36.5:1.57 Under 36.5:2.4 Over 37:1.63 Under 37:2.28 Over 37.5:1.71 Under 37.5:2.12 Over 38:1.74 Under 38:2.08 Over 38.5:1.76 Under 38.5:2.05 Over 39:1.81 Under 39:2.01 Over 40:1.92 Under 40:1.89 Over 40.5:1.95 Under 40.5:1.86 Over 41:2.05 Under 41:1.76 Over 41.5:2.1 Under 41.5:1.72 Over 42:2.16 Under 42:1.68 Over 42.5:2.18 Under 42.5:1.67 Over 43:2.34 Under 43:1.6 Over 43.5:2.45 Under 43.5:1.55 Over 44:2.58 Under 44:1.5 Over 45:2.7 Under 45:1.44 Over 45.5:2.72 Under 45.5:1.43 Over 46:2.8 Under 46:1.4 Over 46.5:2.86 Under 46.5:1.38 Over 47:3.2 Under 47:1.33 Over 47.5:3.28 Under 47.5:1.32 Over 48:3.38 Under 48:1.3 Over 48.5:3.42 Under 48.5:1.29 Over 49:3.6 Under 49:1.27 Over 50:3.92 Under 50:1.22 Over 50.5:4.05 Under 50.5:1.21 Over 51:4.34 Under 51:1.19 Over 51.5:4.4 Under 51.5:1.18 Over 52:4.48 Under 52:1.16 Over 52.5:4.5 Under 52.5:1.16 Over 53:4.95 Under 53:1.14 Over 53.5:5.05 Under 53.5:1.14 Over 54:5.5 Under 54:1.12 Over 54.5:5.55 Under 54.5:1.12 Over 55:6 Under 55:1.11 Over 55.5:6.1 Under 55.5:1.1 Over 56:6.5 Under 56:1.1 Over 56.5:6.55 Under 56.5:1.09 Over 57:7.2 Under 57:1.07 Over 57.5:7.3 Under 57.5:1.07 Over 58:7.85 Under 58:1.06 Over 58.5:7.9 Under 58.5:1.06 Over 59:8.3 Under 59:1.05 Over 59.5:8.4 Under 59.5:1.05 Over 60:9 Under 60:1.05 Over 60.5:9.1 Under 60.5:1.04 Over 26.5:1.11 Under 26.5:5.7 Over 27:1.12 Under 27:5.55 Over 28:1.15 Under 28:4.75 Over 28.5:1.15 Under 28.5:4.65 Over 29.5:1.2 Under 29.5:4.22 Over 21:1.03 Under 21:10.6 Over 21.5:1.03 Under 21.5:10.4 Over 22:1.03 Under 22:10.3 Over 22.5:1.04 Under 22.5:9.3 Over 23:1.04 Under 23:9.2 Over 24:1.07 Under 24:7.2 Over 24.5:1.08 Under 24.5:6.8 Over 25:1.09 Under 25:6.75 Over 25.5:1.09 Under 25.5:6.55 Over 26:1.1 Under 26:6.4 Over 29:1.16 Under 29:4.5 Over 30:1.21 Under 30:4.05 Over 31:1.27 Under 31:3.58

Marathon · 1X21:1.59 2:2.33

Marathon · OU_POINTSOver 30.5:1.22 Under 30.5:3.9 Over 34.5:1.39 Under 34.5:2.85 Over 39.5:1.82 Under 39.5:1.97 Over 44.5:2.44 Under 44.5:1.53 Over 49.5:3.8 Under 49.5:1.23 Over 31.5:1.23 Under 31.5:3.8 Over 32.5:1.21 Under 32.5:4.05 Over 33.5:1.35 Under 33.5:3.04 Over 35.5:1.35 Under 35.5:3.04 Over 36.5:1.53 Under 36.5:2.44 Over 37.5:1.65 Under 37.5:2.18 Over 38.5:1.61 Under 38.5:2.26 Over 40.5:1.93 Under 40.5:1.85 Over 41.5:1.93 Under 41.5:1.85 Over 42.5:2.18 Under 42.5:1.65 Over 43.5:2.34 Under 43.5:1.57 Over 45.5:2.85 Under 45.5:1.39 Over 46.5:2.9 Under 46.5:1.38 Over 47.5:3.04 Under 47.5:1.35 Over 48.5:3.72 Under 48.5:1.24 Over 50.5:3.8 Under 50.5:1.23

Betfair · 1X21:1.62 2:2.25

Betfair · OU_POINTSOver 30.5:1.2 Under 30.5:4 Over 34.5:1.4 Under 34.5:2.75 Over 39.5:1.8 Under 39.5:1.91 Over 44.5:2.55 Under 44.5:1.45 Over 49.5:3.8 Under 49.5:1.22 Over 31.5:1.22 Under 31.5:3.8 Over 32.5:1.29 Under 32.5:3.3 Over 33.5:1.33 Under 33.5:3 Over 35.5:1.44 Under 35.5:2.6 Over 36.5:1.5 Under 36.5:2.4 Over 37.5:1.6 Under 37.5:2.2 Over 38.5:1.73 Under 38.5:2 Over 40.5:1.91 Under 40.5:1.8 Over 41.5:2.1 Under 41.5:1.65 Over 42.5:2.2 Under 42.5:1.6 Over 43.5:2.25 Under 43.5:1.57 Over 45.5:2.75 Under 45.5:1.4 Over 46.5:2.88 Under 46.5:1.36 Over 47.5:3.3 Under 47.5:1.29 Over 48.5:3.6 Under 48.5:1.25 Over 50.5:4 Under 50.5:1.2 Over 51.5:4.8 Under 51.5:1.14 Over 52.5:4.8 Under 52.5:1.14 Over 29.5:1.14 Under 29.5:4.8

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