NFLMondePending

Buffalo BillsvsDetroit Lions

Thursday, September 17 at 08:15 PM

GRATUITMedium risk

The PCS selection

Market

Vainqueur

Pick

Buffalo Bills

Odds

1.58

Confidence70%

Recommended stake: 0.5u

Analysis

Buffalo Bills – Detroit Lions : solide lecture du modèle PCS — données correctes, 3 matchs analysés (qualité des données 71/100). Le modèle dégage un angle de valeur sur ce match.

Member breakdown

📊 Lecture du match — Modèle football américain : Buffalo Bills ~32 pts marqués / 17.3 encaissés sur 3 matchs ; Detroit Lions ~20.7/19.7 sur 3. 🎯 Le pari retenu — Vainqueur : Buffalo Bills. marge attendue +8.9 pts pour Buffalo Bills (28–19) → 74% · cote observée 1.58. Probabilité estimée 74% contre 63.3% implicite par la cote → value +17%. Niveau de risque modéré. Cote minimale acceptable : 1.41 — en dessous, la value disparaît, ne pas jouer. 🔎 Fiabilité & sources — analyse construite sur 3 matchs (qualité des données 71/100, recherche 40/100, cotes de bookmakers) à partir de : forme dérivée football américain (3 vs 3 matchs), points marqués/encaissés (32/17.3 · 20.7/19.7), cotes observées (6 bookmakers). 🧠 Discipline PCS — la priorité n'est pas de jouer plus : c'est de protéger le capital. Pas de rattrapage après une perte, stop après 3 pertes consécutives.

Analysis reliability

✓ Verified data✓ Full analysis✓ Managed risk🎯 Real market odds📈 3 matches analysed

💎 Good value: the offered odds are higher than the estimated true probability.

Why this bet

Full analysis at 70%

Form67

Home / Away (insufficient data)50

Consistency66

Stakes / Standings60

Head-to-head (insufficient data)50

Odds consistency56

Injuries / Risk (insufficient data)50

Opportunity (insufficient data)50

Estimated chances: 74%

Modèle football américain : Buffalo Bills ~32 pts marqués / 17.3 encaissés sur 3 matchs ; Detroit Lions ~20.7/19.7 sur 3.

✓ Analysis recorded on 9/17/2026, 12:37:25 AM — result verifiable.

Odds comparison

Bet365 · 1X21:1.62 2:2.35 X:101

Bet365 · OU_POINTSOver 34.5:1.07 Under 34.5:7.15 Over 39.5:1.17 Under 39.5:4.46 Over 44.5:1.37 Under 44.5:2.9 Over 49.5:1.65 Under 49.5:2.22 Over 31.5:1.04 Under 31.5:9.2 Over 32:1.04 Under 32:9.1 Over 32.5:1.05 Under 32.5:8.8 Over 33:1.05 Under 33:8.6 Over 33.5:1.06 Under 33.5:7.6 Over 34:1.07 Under 34:7.55 Over 35:1.08 Under 35:7.1 Over 35.5:1.08 Under 35.5:6.85 Over 36:1.08 Under 36:6.8 Over 36.5:1.1 Under 36.5:6.15 Over 37:1.11 Under 37:6 Over 37.5:1.14 Under 37.5:5.05 Over 38:1.14 Under 38:5 Over 38.5:1.15 Under 38.5:4.75 Over 39:1.15 Under 39:4.65 Over 40:1.17 Under 40:4.42 Over 40.5:1.21 Under 40.5:4.2 Over 41:1.21 Under 41:4.1 Over 41.5:1.24 Under 41.5:3.76 Over 42:1.25 Under 42:3.75 Over 42.5:1.26 Under 42.5:3.65 Over 43:1.27 Under 43:3.55 Over 43.5:1.32 Under 43.5:3.28 Over 44:1.33 Under 44:3.2 Over 45:1.38 Under 45:2.86 Over 45.5:1.41 Under 45.5:2.76 Over 46:1.42 Under 46:2.74 Over 46.5:1.46 Under 46.5:2.66 Over 47:1.5 Under 47:2.6 Over 47.5:1.55 Under 47.5:2.45 Over 48:1.57 Under 48:2.4 Over 48.5:1.6 Under 48.5:2.34 Over 49:1.62 Under 49:2.3 Over 50:1.7 Under 50:2.14 Over 50.5:1.75 Under 50.5:2.06 Over 51:1.83 Under 51:2 Over 51.5:1.9 Under 51.5:1.9 Over 52:1.94 Under 52:1.87 Over 52.5:1.98 Under 52.5:1.84 Over 53:2.02 Under 53:1.8 Over 53.5:2.06 Under 53.5:1.75 Over 54:2.14 Under 54:1.7 Over 54.5:2.2 Under 54.5:1.66 Over 55:2.3 Under 55:1.62 Over 55.5:2.35 Under 55.5:1.59 Over 56:2.4 Under 56:1.57 Over 56.5:2.46 Under 56.5:1.54 Over 57:2.6 Under 57:1.5 Over 57.5:2.68 Under 57.5:1.45 Over 58:2.76 Under 58:1.41 Over 58.5:2.82 Under 58.5:1.39 Over 59:2.95 Under 59:1.37 Over 59.5:3 Under 59.5:1.36 Over 60:3.2 Under 60:1.33 Over 60.5:3.25 Under 60.5:1.33 Over 61:3.45 Under 61:1.29 Over 61.5:3.52 Under 61.5:1.28 Over 62:3.65 Under 62:1.26 Over 62.5:3.68 Under 62.5:1.25 Over 63:3.88 Under 63:1.23 Over 63.5:3.92 Under 63.5:1.22 Over 64:4.25 Under 64:1.2 Over 64.5:4.32 Under 64.5:1.19 Over 65:4.5 Under 65:1.16 Over 65.5:4.6 Under 65.5:1.16 Over 66:4.85 Under 66:1.14 Over 66.5:4.9 Under 66.5:1.14 Over 67:5.3 Under 67:1.13 Over 67.5:5.4 Under 67.5:1.12 Over 68:5.85 Under 68:1.11 Over 68.5:5.9 Under 68.5:1.11 Over 69:6.4 Under 69:1.1 Over 69.5:6.45 Under 69.5:1.1 Over 70:6.75 Under 70:1.09 Over 70.5:6.8 Under 70.5:1.08 Over 71:7.45 Under 71:1.07 Over 71.5:7.55 Under 71.5:1.07

Marathon · 1X21:1.58 2:2.35

Marathon · OU_POINTSOver 49.5:1.57 Under 49.5:2.34 Over 43.5:1.24 Under 43.5:3.72 Over 46.5:1.38 Under 46.5:2.9 Over 52.5:1.89 Under 52.5:1.89 Over 55.5:2.3 Under 55.5:1.59 Over 58.5:2.99 Under 58.5:1.36 Over 61.5:3.9 Under 61.5:1.22

Betfair · 1X21:1.5 2:2.63

BetVictor · 1X21:1.55 2:2.4

⚠️ Betting involves risk. No winnings are guaranteed — PCS LE GOAT publishes analyses based on available data, never certainties. Gamble responsibly.