Bunnings NPCNew-ZealandPending

AucklandvsCounties Manukau

Friday, September 11 at 10:05 PM

GRATUITMedium risk

The PCS selection

Market

Résultat (1X2)

Pick

1 (domicile)

Odds

1.45

Confidence68%

Recommended stake: 0.75u

Analysis

Auckland – Counties Manukau : solide lecture du modèle PCS — données correctes, 2 matchs analysés (qualité des données 56/100). Le modèle dégage un angle de valeur sur ce match. ⚠️ Échantillon limité (2 matchs) — confiance réduite, à confirmer.

Member breakdown

📊 Lecture du match — Modèle points : Auckland ~23/29.5 sur 2 matchs ; Counties Manukau ~28.3/44.5 sur 4. 🎯 Le pari retenu — Résultat (1X2) : 1 (domicile). marge attendue +9.4 points pour Auckland (38–29) → 74% (nul 2%). Probabilité estimée 74% contre 69% implicite par la cote → value +7%. Niveau de risque modéré. Cote minimale acceptable : 1.41 — en dessous, la value disparaît, ne pas jouer. 🔎 Fiabilité & sources — analyse construite sur 2 matchs (qualité des données 56/100, recherche 40/100, cotes de bookmakers) à partir de : forme dérivée points (2 vs 4 matchs), points pour/contre (23/29.5 · 28.3/44.5), cotes observées (5 bookmakers, 3 issues), analyse légère — données limitées (2 matchs). Échantillon réduit : à prendre avec prudence, le pick monte en fiabilité au fil des matchs accumulés. 🧠 Discipline PCS — la priorité n'est pas de jouer plus : c'est de protéger le capital. Pas de rattrapage après une perte, stop après 3 pertes consécutives.

Analysis reliability

✓ Verified data✓ Full analysis✓ Managed risk🎯 Real market odds📈 2 matches analyzed

💎 Good value: the offered odds are higher than the estimated true probability.

Why this bet

Full analysis at 58%

Form63

Home / Away (insufficient data)50

Consistency77

Stakes / Standings58

Head-to-head (insufficient data)50

Odds consistency58

Injuries / Risk (insufficient data)50

Opportunity (insufficient data)50

Estimated chances: 74%

Modèle points : Auckland ~23/29.5 sur 2 matchs ; Counties Manukau ~28.3/44.5 sur 4.

✓ Analysis recorded on 9/12/2026, 12:38:08 AM — result verifiable.

Odds comparison

Bet365 · 1X21:1.42 2:3 X:23

Bet365 · OU_POINTSOver 50.5:1.22 Under 50.5:4 Over 51.5:1.25 Under 51.5:3.75 Over 52.5:1.28 Under 52.5:3.5 Over 53.5:1.32 Under 53.5:3.25 Over 54.5:1.33 Under 54.5:3.15 Over 55.5:1.4 Under 55.5:2.8 Over 56.5:1.42 Under 56.5:2.75 Over 57.5:1.48 Under 57.5:2.55 Over 58.5:1.5 Under 58.5:2.5 Over 59.5:1.55 Under 59.5:2.35 Over 60.5:1.62 Under 60.5:2.2 Over 61.5:1.65 Under 61.5:2.15 Over 62.5:1.75 Under 62.5:2 Over 63.5:1.8 Under 63.5:1.95 Over 64.5:1.87 Under 64.5:1.87 Over 65.5:1.95 Under 65.5:1.8 Over 66.5:2 Under 66.5:1.75 Over 67.5:2.12 Under 67.5:1.68 Over 68.5:2.2 Under 68.5:1.62 Over 69.5:2.35 Under 69.5:1.55 Over 70.5:2.4 Under 70.5:1.53 Over 71.5:2.55 Under 71.5:1.48 Over 72.5:2.65 Under 72.5:1.45 Over 73.5:2.8 Under 73.5:1.4 Over 74.5:3 Under 74.5:1.36 Over 75.5:3.15 Under 75.5:1.33 Over 76.5:3.35 Under 76.5:1.3 Over 77.5:3.5 Under 77.5:1.28 Over 78.5:3.75 Under 78.5:1.25

Marathon · 1X21:1.47 2:2.73 X:29

Marathon · OU_POINTSOver 55.5:1.31 Under 55.5:3.04 Over 56.5:1.31 Under 56.5:3.04 Over 58.5:1.46 Under 58.5:2.49 Over 59.5:1.44 Under 59.5:2.53 Over 61.5:1.64 Under 61.5:2.12 Over 62.5:1.63 Under 62.5:2.14 Over 64.5:1.88 Under 64.5:1.84 Over 65.5:1.86 Under 65.5:1.86 Over 67.5:2.17 Under 67.5:1.61 Over 68.5:2.14 Under 68.5:1.63 Over 70.5:2.55 Under 70.5:1.44 Over 71.5:2.49 Under 71.5:1.46 Over 73.5:3.04 Under 73.5:1.31 Over 74.5:2.98 Under 74.5:1.32

Betfair · 1X21:1.4 2:3 X:23

Betfair · OU_POINTSOver 64.5:1.9 Under 64.5:1.87

⚠️ Betting involves risk. No winnings are guaranteed — PCS LE GOAT publishes analyzes based on available data, never certainties. Gamble responsibly.